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ACTUARIAL CASE LAW REVIEW

Issue 142 – Monday 18 November 2024

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ACTUARIAL – Loss of income – Pre-morbid scenario – Calculations and projections to be based on facts – Problem with calculation and claim as formulated by expert – Calculations are based on a set of instructions for which there are no facts before court – Combined total claim for R1,2 million – All premises and calculations which exceeds such amount is of no relevance until pleadings have been amended to bring it line with what plaintiff may believe evidence is – Net amount after apportionment being R840,000.

Facts: The accident from which this claim arose occurred in 2019 and the plaintiff was born in 1984. The aspect of negligence had previously been settled based on a 70/30 apportionment in favour of the plaintiff and the plaintiff has been offered an undertaking in terms of section 17(4)(a) of the Road Accident Fund Act for 70 percent of his future hospital, medical and ancillary expenses. There has also been an award for general damages. From 2006 to 2008, he was a bricklayer, and in 2009 there is no record of employment so one assumes he was unemployed. From 2010 to 2012 he was a barman. From 2012 to 2017 he was a bar manager, then from 2018 to the accident he was a barman again.


Claim: The difficulty that arose in this matter related to the plaintiff's employment, the claim for loss of income being the only claim before court. There was a Uniform Rule 38(2) application which was granted. The plaintiff's primary injury was a fracture of the left tibia and fibula and the plaintiff's whole person impairment was assessed at two percent.


Assessment: The court drew attention to the comments reflected in industrial psychologist's report from the owner of Gatsby Night Club, the last position where the plaintiff worked after the accident as a barman and where it was said that his performance was excellent and that he was always reliable. The next position he would have been promoted to is the position of junior assistant manager. They consider work performance and work experience before appointing someone to that position. That suggested that the plaintiff's pre-accident ambition to work as a barman might not have been terminated as a result of the injury to his leg, but that he had the opportunity to continue working in that capacity had it not been for Covid and that as he already had a proven track record as a bar manager, having performed that function for five years from 2012 to 2017. He would have been imminently suitable for this position in this club, had Covid not intervened. It is recorded that the plaintiff would have worked as a barman had the accident not occurred. The problem arises with the calculation and the claim as formulated by the industrial psychologist. There is reference to the security industry, which is of no assistance in the context of the matter. There is a difficulty with theoretical projections when factual information is available.


Findings: Given the nature of the work that the plaintiff had done for the period 2006 through to 2022 it is not work which remotely could be defined as falling within the corporate or non-corporate sector, it is semi-skilled, closer to the informal sector. If the calculation takes the plaintiff into the upper quartile of semi-skilled in the non-corporate sector, then there is no evidence available which would suggest why that would happen. There were two addendums to the industrial psychologist's report. The second addendum now contained the opinion of the industrial psychologist based on a future career in the security industry. The change of stance from the early report to this report is problematic and there is no evidence before court to support that approach. That being the case, problems arise as far as the calculation of the actuary is concerned. The calculations are based on a set of instructions for which there are no facts before court. The plaintiff's combined claim is for a total of R1,2 million. All the premises and calculations which exceeds this amount are of no relevance until such time as the pleadings have been amended to bring it line with what the plaintiff may believe the evidence is.


Award: In respect of the plaintiff's claim for past and future loss of income, combined, the court awards the amount of R1,200,000, pre-apportionment. Taking into consideration the apportionment on liability the net amount, after apportionment, is R840,000.

WEIDEMAN AJ

ACTUARIAL – Loss of income – Industrial psychologist – Report lacking – Does not assist court in ascertaining what a probable future for plaintiff would be – No proper description of plaintiff’s job – Absent an effort to secure a copy of contract of employment – No factual evidence to support any premises used by industrial psychologist – However, plaintiff is indeed compromised in her choice of occupation – Unfair and vulnerable competitor – Reduced life expectancy – R262,654 for past loss of income – Claim for default judgment in respect of future loss of earnings refused – Plaintiff to formulate valid claim.

Facts: The accident from which this claim arose occurred in 2022 and the plaintiff was born in 1993. The aspect of liability had previously been resolved on the basis that the defendant accepts 100 percent liability for such damages as the plaintiff may be able to substantiate. At the time of the accident the plaintiff was a merchandiser, and she earned approximately R2,800 per month. Dr Kumbirai confirmed a fractured mandible, a head injury, Glasgow Coma Scale 14/15 and a fracture of the left clavicle. He indicated in his report that she was compromised in her choice of occupation and would be an unfair competitor in the open labour market. Dr Vafaei indicated that with treatment the plaintiff will return to adequate function and that the injuries which falls within his area of expertise (maxillofacial surgeon) will have no impact on her employment.


Claim: The plaintiff seeks to be awarded damages for the loss of income suffered as a result of the accident.


Industrial psychologist: Dr Seroto confirmed a head injury, a fracture of the left clavicle, and the fracture of the mandible. In his report, his evaluation indicated that the plaintiff's higher functions were satisfactory. His evaluation found normality in every one of the areas of examination. However, despite that, he found a reduced life expectancy of three to five years. In the report by Midipa, it was said that the plaintiff’s emotional difficulties are evaluated to be amenable to therapeutic intervention and with a fair prognosis. However, he still found her to be a vulnerable competitor in the open labour market. The report of the industrial psychologist is disappointing as it does not assist the court in ascertaining what a probable future for this plaintiff would be.


Assessment: Nowhere in the report is a definition or a proper description of what the plaintiff actually did at the time of the accident or at the time of her last known salary of R5,500 per month at October 2023. The court attempted to Google "merchandiser" but got so many different definitions that a clear definition for the purpose of the case is still lacking. Despite the plaintiff being in fixed employment at the same company, in the industrial psychologist's report there is no indication that any effort has been made to secure a copy of her contract of employment. There is no description of what her duties actually entail in the industrial psychologist's report. There is no indication whether her position is at all at risk. There is no indication that she has never been given any warnings or any disciplinary proceedings which makes it problematic to understand why at the same company, years after the incident, at more than double the salary, she becomes all of a sudden unemployable.


Findings: There were rapid addendum reports by the industrial psychologist including an addendum based on the fact that many, many years ago the plaintiff secured a qualification in the security industry, a security certificate. But there is no evidence before court that she ever applied for a position in the security industry. There is no indication that any such application was refused because of her physical limitation. There is no indication at all other than the securement of the certificate that she ever attempted to venture into the security industry. Yet the industrial psychologist, simply because the certificate exists, sets out a scenario which leads to a multi-million Rand calculation, and there is no factual evidence to support any of the premises used by the industrial psychologist, and on that basis, the premises and the report of the industrial psychologist are of no assistance to the court, and cannot be accepted. The plaintiff will have impediments, and these are noted as per the various medical legal reports. She is compromised in her choice of occupation, she is an unfair competitor, she is a vulnerable competitor, and she has a reduced life expectancy. The court, however, refuses the claim for default judgment in respect of future loss of earnings, which hopefully will place the plaintiff in a position where she can reconsider the information necessary to enable her to substantiate and formulate a valid claim.


Award: In respect of the plaintiff's claim for past loss of income the amount of R262,654 is allowed and the defendant is liable to compensate the plaintiff in this sum for the plaintiff's claim for accrued or past loss of income.

WEIDEMAN AJ

ACTUARIAL – Loss of income – Collateral information – Significant gaps in respect of collateral information – Reference to two pre-accident collisions – Impact of injuries for present claim unknown – Collateral or substantiating evidence severely lacking – Industrial psychologist’s projection at D5 level lacking factual basis for such conclusion – Predictions are of no assistance and rejected – Actuarial calculation equally rejected – Claim for future loss refused – Past loss award of R57,190.

Facts: The accident occurred in 2012 and the plaintiff was born in 1990. The court made an award in respect of general damages, future medical expenses, and a comprehensive order in respect of costs. The plaintiff was in Grade 12 in 2010 and allegedly enrolled at the University of Free State for a BSc degree in 2011 but failed his first year. The plaintiff remained at the University of the Free State, allegedly, in 2012 still pursuing a BSc degree but dropped out in March 2012 for financial or academic reasons. That was nine months before the accident. He has now succeeded in successfully completing 16 of the LLB modules with a further 24 left.


Claim: The only issue outstanding in the matter is the plaintiff’s claim, if any, in respect of loss of income. There are significant gaps in respect of collateral information, and which has an influence on the court’s approach to the claim for loss of income.


Assessment: There is no detailed history available between the period March 2012 and 2015, there is an indication of a short stint of work at a fast-food outlet and there is an indication of an attempt to enrol at both the University of the Witwatersrand and the University of Johannesburg, both applications being unsuccessful. There is no collateral or substantiating documentation in respect of these statements. There are two accidents, in both of which the plaintiff describes the injury as a laceration to the forehead. Some of the other experts in their reports refers to scarring on the forehead. But the court does not know, now that it is aware that there is an earlier accident where there was a laceration to the forehead, whether the scarring to which the other experts refer, relates to the first or the third accident. There is no information on that, and there ought to have been, because if there is a suggestion that there is any impediment in the plaintiff’s ability to academically progress, then the expert had the obligation to give the court the comfort that these earlier accidents had no influence.


Findings: Regarding the industrial psychologist’s projection, leaving aside the calculation relating to the health environment, looking only at the alternatives which may include the LLB degree, it is not enough to simply say that this individual will progress to the D5 level. On the D5 level you are on the CEO level of fairly big corporations. The income package reflected for a D5 is higher than what a judge earns, it is higher than what most of the most senior State employees earn. The court has nothing before it to support the view that the plaintiff will progress to the D5 level. The industrial psychologist's predictions are of no assistance to the court and are rejected. That being the case, the actuarial calculation is equally of no assistance to the court and rejected. In respect of past loss of income, it is the amount of R57,190, and that claim succeeds, and the defendant is liable to compensate the plaintiff in respect of past loss of income. The court refuses the application for default judgment in respect of future loss of earnings, which would allow the plaintiff the opportunity to reconsider the manner in which he wishes to present his case and hopefully do so in future on a better factual basis than the one that is before court at the moment.


Award: The defendant shall pay the plaintiff the sum of R57,190 in respect of past loss of income. The plaintiff’s application for default judgment for future loss of income is refused.

WEIDEMAN AJ

4 November 2024

MAHOSI J

PERSONAL INJURY – PRASA – Liability – Commuters needing to alight to change to another train – Plaintiff pushed and falling on platform – Plaintiff satisfactory witness and witnesses reliable and credible – Plaintiff’s version more credible and probable – Was travelling in overloaded train with open doors – Such circumstances exposed commuters to danger of being pushed outside the trains and sustaining injuries – Foreseeable harm and failure to take preventative measures – PRASA 100% liable.

Facts: Mr Sibanyoni testified that he worked as a gardener in Bedfordview for about two years ago. During his employment, he used the train to travel from his home in Soweto to work almost daily. He purchased a monthly train ticket. He took the train at Merafe Station in Mapetla Soweto and alighted at Johannesburg Park Station, where he caught a second train to Geldenhuys Station, which was within walking distance of his workplace. On the day of the incident, in 2015, Sibanyoni travelled by train with two others to Bedfordview. They worked until late afternoon and took a train from Geldehuys to Park Town, where they would make a changeover. The train they took was full of people travelling to Soweto and Vereeniging, and when it got to New Canada Station, commuters travelling towards Vereeniging had to alight to get on another train. The doors of the train used to be open during those days. There was pushing and shoving on the train. As he was standing in the middle of the compartment, he could not hold on to any handrail. The commuters who were meant to change over, as they rushed to get off the train, pushed him outside and he fell onto the platform facing down and could not move his left hip side.


Claim: An action in which damages are sought for bodily injuries. It raises the question of whether PRASA has a legal duty to act positively to prevent physical harm being sustained by train passengers who are pushed out of a moving train. The parties separated the issues relating to merits and quantum by agreement. Accordingly, the only issue for determination is whether PRASA is liable for the bodily injury sustained by Mr Sibanyoni.


Discussion: PRASA denied that the cause of this incident was due to the sole negligence of its employees or agents. It avers that its employees did not breach the alleged duty of care owed to Sibanyoni as alleged in his particulars of claim, and the incident was caused by his exclusive negligence in that he failed to avoid it and to keep a proper lookout. Alternatively, if the court finds that it breached its duty of care, PRASA pleaded that such breach or negligence was neither the cause of the incident nor that same contributed thereto. Ms Mayihlole testified that she was an employee of Vusisizwe Security Company and on that day she was deployed as a security officer at New Canada station. She conceded that there were instances where people were pushed out of the train, and other commuters screamed and shouted, while others approached the office to report the incident. She was certain that the incident did not happen because, considering the time the incident occurred, it being rush hour, the commuters would usually scream, triggering her attention to the scene.


Findings: Sibanyoni was a satisfactory witness. Phillip and Tshepo were also reliable and credible witnesses. The evidence that Phillip and Jacob called Tshepo for assistance and took him in Tshepo’s car from New Canada station to Baragwanath Hospital is not disputed. Mayihlole conceded that New Canada station had eight platforms and during rush hours, she could not have sight of all platforms at the same time, and that incidents have previously happened where people fell out of trains because of people pushing and shoving in a rush to get out of the train. Her insistence that the incident did not happen simply because she did not see it is not probable, given the number of platforms she had to monitor simultaneously during rush hour. Considering all the evidence, this court has no basis to reject Sibanyoni’s version, as it is more credible and probable. He was travelling in an overloaded train with open doors, was pushed by commuters and fell on the platform, resulting in his injuries. PRASA, its employees and agents knew or ought to have known about the trains moving with open doors and overloaded. Further, such circumstances exposed commuters to the danger of being pushed outside the trains and sustaining injuries. The reasonable employees and agents of PRASA would have foreseen the possibility of such causing harm, but they failed to take measures to prevent it.


Order: PRASA is liable to pay the plaintiff 100% of such damages as he may establish in due course arising out of his fall at Canada train station. PRASA shall pay the plaintiff’s costs of the suit.

MAHOSI J

30 October 2024

VAN RHYN J

RAF – Loss of income – Diminished capacity – Moderately severe brain injury – Level of consciousness deteriorated – Physical, neuropsychiatric and physiological issues – Permanent cognitive-communicative deficits and communication impairments – Extensively accommodated by employer – Annual increases were lower than prior to accident – Now manages a smaller client – Assumption that plaintiff’s earnings will increase by 1,5% to 2% lower than peers – R5,236,900 for loss of income.

Facts and issue: The plaintiff instituted action against the defendant for the payment of damages as a result of injuries sustained arising from a motor vehicle accident. The issues remaining in dispute are the quantum of the claim for past hospital and medical expenses; the quantum of the claim for loss of earnings/earning capacity; and the quantum of the claim for general damages.


Pre-accident: The plaintiff was successful in respect of the positions he held at different companies/ businesses throughout his employment career. He evidently seized different challenges and opportunities and had the ability to overcome retrenchment and other obstacles which occurred from time to time. Prior to the accident the plaintiff maintained a high level of physical activity and fitness and enjoyed playing golf and cycling. He did not have any significant medical history apart from a posterior Cruciate Ligament injury to his right knee.


Post accident: The plaintiff had been intubated and ventilated at the accident scene and a Glasgow Coma Scale of 14/15 was recorded. His level of consciousness deteriorated. He suffered a traumatic head injury, a moderately severe brain injury and no further neurosurgical intervention will improve his neurocognitive deficits. The trauma of the accident caused not only physical issues, but also neuropsychiatric and physiological issues. His psychiatric injuries have rendered him a less capable person socially, intellectually and executively. The plaintiff presents with significant cognitive-communicative deficits and significant expressive and receptive communication impairments. The plaintiff’s cognitive-communicative deficits and communication impairments are pathological and neurogenic in nature and fully in keeping with the traumatic brain injury he sustained in the accident. These deficits and impairments can be considered permanent in nature.


Findings: Then plaintiff returned to work in January 2019 and was extensively accommodated by his employer. Further career progression is not envisaged. Although his renumeration was not adjusted, despite being responsible for a much smaller client, the plaintiff’s annual increases were lower than prior to the accident. It is assumed that this pattern will persist and that the plaintiff would thus continue to suffer a future loss of income resulting from lower annual increases than the other senior managers. The actuarial calculation filed by the plaintiff includes the assumption that the plaintiff’s earnings will increase by 1,5% to 2% lower than his peers. Increases have been assumed in line with long-term earnings inflation assumption.


Award: The defendant shall pay to the plaintiff the amount of R5,236,900 in respect of past and future loss of earnings/earning capacity.

8 November 2024

MAZIBUKO AJ

RAF – Liability – Plaintiff’s version – Alleged unknown motor vehicle driving at high speed suddenly drove into lane of travel – Collided with stationary truck while trying to avoid a head-on collision – Inconsistent evidence – Could not explain differences in evidence – Based claim on averments different from testimony and other pieces of evidence disclosed – Failed to adduce credible evidence – Self-contradictory – No unidentified driver whose negligent driving caused collision – Claim dismissed.

Facts and issue: The plaintiff instituted a personal injury claim against the defendant arising from a motor vehicle collision. The plaintiff alleged that whilst driving his motor vehicle, an unknown motor vehicle driven by an unidentified driver driving at a high speed suddenly drove into his lane of travel. While trying to avoid a head-on collision, he collided with a stationary truck parked next to the road. As a result, the plaintiff suffered an injury on top of his left eye and a deep wound on the eyelids. The cause of the accident, pleads the plaintiff, was the sole negligence of the insured driver. The defendant is disputing liability.


Discussion: In defending the action, the defendant contested that the plaintiff was under the influence of alcohol. Therefore, the accident was caused by the plaintiff losing control of his motor vehicle and colliding with a stationary truck. It denied that there was an unidentified insured driver driving another unidentified motor vehicle. The evidence presented by the plaintiff was his own testimony about the accident. His evidence is not consistent. He could not explain the differences in the evidence. He based his claim, as contained in the particulars of claim, on averments different from his testimony and other pieces of evidence he disclosed in support of his case. There is no explanation why the allegations in the affidavit were not pleaded in the particulars of claim if he believed that was what happened on the night of the accident. Instead, different averments were made in the particulars of claim. The plaintiff’s evidence was self-contradictory, with inconsistent statements. He was not a credible witness.


Findings: The probabilities of the plaintiff’s version require further remark in that there was uncontested evidence that the plaintiff was under the influence of alcohol. The contradictions and inconsistencies in his evidence remain unexplained. The court finds that the plaintiff lost control of his motor vehicle, and whilst trying to control it, he drove into the stationary truck. Had there been another unknown vehicle, his testimony would have been to that effect. However, the plaintiff did not testify to that effect. Therefore, there was no unidentified driver whose negligent driving caused the collision, resulting in plaintiff’s injuries on the day in question.


Order: The plaintiff’s claim is dismissed with costs.

8 November 2024

MAZIBUKO AJ

RAF – Liability – Plaintiff’s version – Discrepancies in hospital records as to identity of plaintiff – Hospital records relied on were not that of plaintiff – Issue of different names in records is a material discrepancy on an important document – Confirms whether plaintiff was same person who was involved in accident – Plaintiff was not the person who was treated – No prospects of success on evidence – Claim for loss of earnings and general damages dismissed.

Facts and issue: This is an action for damages arising from a motor vehicle collision where the plaintiff was a pedestrian. As a result, he suffered personal injuries and claims damages in the amount of R2,475,575. The merits and future medical expenses had been settled at 80/20, which is 80% in favour of the plaintiff. The matter was before the court for determination of loss of income and general damages. The defendant argued that the plaintiff’s claim be dismissed as the plaintiff’s hospital records were not before the court. The ones the plaintiff relied on were for a certain Ndzimande or Nkosi. The plaintiff’s affidavit was not sufficient to explain the discrepancies.


Discussion: The plaintiff must prove his claim of loss of income and general damages on a balance of probabilities. The hospital records did not reflect the name of the plaintiff as a patient or a person who was treated for personal injuries from a motor vehicle accident. Prima facie, the records are not of the plaintiff. They are for Sandile Nkosi and or Sandile Ndzimande. Undoubtedly, they are integral to the plaintiff’s experts’ reports. All his experts, except the actuary, considered same when they did the assessment, formulated their opinions and compiled the reports. Notably, no experts raised any issue regarding the fact that the names in the hospital records differed from the person they alleged to have interviewed, except the industrial psychologist. The hospital records relied on were not that of the plaintiff.  The issue of different names in the records is a material discrepancy on an important document, which confirms whether the plaintiff was the same person who was involved in a motor vehicle accident, sustained injuries and whose relatives and the ambulance brought him to receive medical treatment at Ermelo Hospital.


Findings: The plaintiff was not the person who was treated at Ermelo Hospital on 2 April 2023 and discharged in May 2023, but the person or persons mentioned in the hospital records. The question the court entertained was whether, under the circumstances and considering the whole body of evidence, it was competent to absolve the defendant or dismiss the claim. Even if the plaintiff intends to reinstate the claim later, without prejudging, the evidence presented is unlikely to change. If the evidence remains the same, there are no prospects of success. Even when the court considers the absolution in the interest of justice, by considering prospects of success in the future. Given the evidence and the particularity in the hospital records and the two persons, Nkosi and Ndzimande, in one set of hospital records, there appear to be no prospects of success. Therefore, his claim stands to be dismissed as he had not made out a case for loss of earnings and general damages.


Order: The plaintiff's claim for loss of earnings and general damages is dismissed.

7 November 2024

DAFFUE J

RAF – General damages – Brain injury – Taxi driver still operating his own taxi although compromised – Forgetful and cannot work normal shifts – Experiences memory impairment, anger and poor concentration – Frequent and almost daily headaches – Incurred loss of amenities of life – Cognitive and emotional sequelae are associated with traumatic brain injury – Plaintiff will have to use chronic medication for remainder of his life – General damages of R850,000.

Facts and issue: The plaintiff is a taxi driver. Prior to the collision, he was the owner of four taxis, but on his return home after his hospitalisation, one taxi had been stolen and two others had been damaged in collisions. He is making use of one taxi. This taxi was not roadworthy for some time. He, being a qualified mechanic, repaired it. The plaintiff was 32 years old when he was injured in a motor vehicle collision. He is now 43 years old. He instituted action against the Road Accident Fund to claim damages allegedly suffered as a result of the injuries sustained in the collision. The only outstanding issue is the claim for general damages.


Discussion: The plaintiff was a bodybuilder prior to the collision. He cannot do any bodybuilding anymore but keeps himself fit with aerobic exercises. He services and repairs his own taxi when required but finds it difficult to work for too long with tools such as spanners. He also finds it difficult to drive for a long time. According to him, he still experiences daily pain in his right shoulder and cannot sleep on his right side. When referred to the report of Dr Ziervogel, he merely stated that he personally was the one feeling the pain daily. Fact of the matter is that the plaintiff has been operating his taxi for many years since the collision and this is still the situation. According to him, he usually conveys two loads of people in the mornings and two to three loads during the afternoons although it is not always possible to work a full day. He works every day of the week.


Findings: One golden thread running through the collateral evidence relied upon by the experts and confirmed by the plaintiff in his oral testimony is the frequent and almost daily headaches from which he is suffering, as well as the pain and discomfort experienced because of his right shoulder injury. He, for example, finds it difficult to write. The plaintiff’s evidence confirmed the behavioural changes provided as collateral evidence to the experts. There is no reason to reject his version. The plaintiff has incurred a loss of amenities of life. According to the doctor, the plaintiff will have to use chronic medication for the remainder of his life.


Award: The defendant shall pay the plaintiff the amount of R850,000 for general damages in respect of shock, pain, suffering, disfigurement, disability and loss of amenities of life.

1 November 2024

VAN RHYN J

RAF – Loss of income – Farmer – Extensive sequelae of injuries and serious impairments – Head injury – Can no longer do physical work on farm – Injuries sustained limit movement and abilities to a great extent – Sold 755 cattle as he was unable to handle all animals – Relies on assistance to continue with farming operations – Forgetful – Irreversible deficits – Unequal competitor and very vulnerable competitor in open labour market – Loss of income of R3,554,382.40 – General damages of R1,200,000.

Facts and issue: The plaintiff, a farmer, instituted action against the defendant for the payment of damages as a result of injuries sustained arising from a motor vehicle accident. The court is called upon to determine the award to be made in respect of the claim for past and future loss of earnings/earning capacity. The plaintiff was ejected from the vehicle because of the collision. He sustained a head injury and lost consciousness. He has no recall of the events occurring immediately after the impact. He was taken from the accident scene by ambulance to the Mediclinic Hospital. He was assessed and stabilized in the emergency room at the hospital and a cervical collar was applied. A Glasgow Coma Scale of 12/15 was reported on arrival at the hospital.


Post-accident: Apart from the serious injuries sustained in the accident, the plaintiff experienced far reaching sequelae as is evident from the medico-legal reports submitted by the plaintiff. The plaintiff experiences headaches associated with dizziness and loss of balance. He struggles to open his left eye because of the head injury. He experiences chest pains and shortness of breath which causes him to struggle to perform physical tasks. The plaintiff returned to his pre-accident occupation as a farmer after approximately 12-18 months. He can no longer do the physical work on the farm as the injuries sustained in the accident limit his movement and abilities to a great extent. He sold 755 of his cattle as he was unable to handle all the animals. He furthermore sold two of his farms and relies upon the assistance of his son to continue with his farming operations.


Assessment: The deficits impact upon his work and psychological functioning and should be regarded as irreversible. The plaintiff is unable to remember the formulas to calculate the dosage of herbicides and is no longer able to do basic calculations. He forgets specific tasks in the daily executive planning of functions on the farm. He is constantly searching for his keys. The plaintiff has been a farmer throughout his working life and farming has become a part of his identity and livelihood. The impact of his lack of performance has left him hopeless and despondent. The plaintiff experiences pain and suffering, discomfort, loss of amenities of life and will continue to experience these because of the accident-related injuries. He has reduced physical work ability and is thus an unequal competitor and a very vulnerable competitor in the open labour market.


Award: The defendant shall pay to the plaintiff the amount of R4,754,382.40 made up as follows: Past and Future Loss of Earnings/Earning Capacity: R3,554,382.40; General Damages: R1,200,000.

25 October 2024

REINDERS J

RAF – Loss of income – Child – 7 years and 4 months at accident – Severe traumatic brain injury – Quantum – Future loss and general damages – Injuries resulted in a physical impairment – Would hinder minor from obtaining employment – Sympathetic employment – Likely to reach certificate and diploma qualification – Contingency deductions in but-for accident and post-accident scenarios discussed – Massive obstacles will be faced by plaintiff in order to obtain and maintain employment – Future loss of earnings of R4,218,475 – General damages of R1,800,000.

Facts and issue: A minor child, P, aged seven years and four months at the time, was a passenger in a motor vehicle that was involved in an accident. The plaintiff is the mother and natural guardian of P, and as such sues in her representative capacity and claims damages from the defendant as a result of the injuries sustained by P. The court is called upon to adjudicate the two outstanding issues, namely the plaintiff’s claim for general damages and loss of future earnings, with reference also to the contingencies to be applied.


Post-accident: It is not in dispute that P sustained bodily injuries because of the accident. These included a traumatic concussive brain injury, degloving injury to the head, right subgaleal heamatoma with pneumocrania, severe depressed comminuted frontal and parietal skull, underlying cortical injury and contusion, brain herniation of the right parietal lobes into the subcutaneous tissues, lacerations and hemiparesis (slight, right arm and leg).


Expert evidence: Ms Mattheus confirmed her expert report filed and the conclusions reached by her. But for the accident, and "given the very limited information available", the minor would have completed mainstream education until Grade 12, and if given the opportunity to pursue tertiary studies, she would have been able to attain a Higher Certificate (NQF5) or a Diploma (NQF6) before entering the open labour market. Having regard to the accident, she opined that the plaintiff will only obtain a NQF2 qualification. Ms Theron testified that with P's anticipated highest post-morbid qualification and accompanied challenges, she would have to rely on sympathetic employment.


Scenarios: The proposed postulation regarding P’s tertiary education, namely that of both Scenario 1 (the NQF5 qualification- a certificate) and the NQF6 (diploma) qualification, is well-founded. The postulations of Ms Theron in respect of the applicable Paterson scales, are likewise accepted, as well as her testimony. Mr Immerman in his actuarial report indicates that he was instructed to calculate the plaintiff’s future loss of income based on the information provided to him by the plaintiff’s attorneys of record. The basis of his calculations was that P would retire at the age of 65. Mrs Theron postulated two possible scenarios in respect of the calculations to be done respectively in the income but for the accident and income having regard to the accident. Basis I is premised on a certificate level of education, whilst basis II deals with a diploma level of education.  This included an instruction to apply contingency deductions on the value of plaintiff’s income “but for the accident” scenario at 25% and in respect of the value of the income “having regard to the accident” at a 70% deduction.


Order: The defendant shall make payment to the plaintiff, in her representative capacity on behalf of the minor, the amount of R6,018,475. This is composed of future loss of earnings of R4,218,475 and general damages of R1,800,000.

 

BOOKS / RESEARCH / ARTICLES

Authors: Cian Creedon, Erin Bargate, Shane Lenney, Marcus Schofield and Richard Stock


In June of 2023, the PRA issued UK general insurance chief actuaries with a follow-up report to their October 2022 thematic review (Prudential Regulation Authority, 2023). In this report, it was noted that many insurers had yet to observe recent supernormal economic inflation manifest itself as claims inflation, particularly in third-party casualty lines. Although, claims inflation may be disconnected from economic inflation in many lines of business, this is considered to be unlikely (given insurance’s purpose in rectifying a financial loss). Rather, it is likely that claims inflation may lag economic inflation for certain lines. Although a total disconnect is highly unlikely, the link between economic and claims inflation can vary from being reasonably apparent (such as in first party motor property) to less apparent (such as in medical malpractice). Accordingly, the question of how (and indeed, when) best to allow for the effects of supernormal economic inflation (and periods of heightened claims inflation generally) in general insurance actuarial practices becomes challenging. Indeed, in order to answer the question as to how economic inflation impacts claims inflation, we first need to achieve a solid understanding of what claims inflation has been present in our data historically. This, then, becomes the pivotal focus of this paper.

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