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ACTUARIAL CASE LAW REVIEW

Issue 147 – Monday 27 January 2025

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ACTUARIAL – Loss of support – Cap under RAF Act – Whether cap applies to dependents collectively or individually – Meaning of “any person” in section 17(1) – Section 17(1) to be interpreted as widely as possible in favour of the third-party claimants – Cap applies individually to third-party claimants in respect of each deceased breadwinner – Claimants in casu entitled to payment of balance of amount awarded – Road Accident Fund Act 56 of 1996, s 17(4)(c)(ii).

Section 17: Section 17(4)(c)(ii) of the Road Accident Fund Act 56 of 1996 (the RAF Act) provides that: “Where a claim for compensation under subsection (1) – . . . (c)  includes a claim for loss of income or support, the annual loss, irrespective of the actual loss, shall be proportionately calculated to an amount exceeding – . . . (ii) R295,322 per year, in respect of each deceased breadwinner, in the case of a claim for loss of support."


Issue: The court previously ordered payment of loss of support in the amount of R4,463,122.09. The issue relates to whether the statutory cap provided for in section 17(4)(c)(ii) of the Act applies to the dependents collectively or individually. The plaintiff now seeks judgment for the sum of R1,685,745, which represents the balance brought about by the difference in the loss of support calculated when applying the statutory cap collectively to all the dependents versus individually.


Discussion: Section 17(4)(c)(ii) should not be read in isolation but in conjunction with section 17(1) of the RAF Act. The key word in interpreting section 17(1) of the RAF Act is “any person”. To enhance clarity and understanding of “any person” the legislator placed the words “the third party” in brackets. Therefore, a proper interpretation of section 17(1) of the RAF Act entails interpreting both keywords. The phrase “any person” is a general term that refers to anyone without specifying a particular person and implies that any person is treated as a single entity. The legislature's intention when enacting section 17(1) of the RAF Act was to ensure that the Fund remains financially viable. 


Findings: Had the legislature intended the cap to apply collectively, the legislature could have drafted the provision unequivocally to cater for such eventuality. To preserve the constitutional validity, the cap must be interpreted to avoid unfair differentiation between dependents. Therefore, “any person” (the third party) in section 17(1) of the RAF Act should be interpreted widely to mean that the cap in section 17(4)(c)(ii) applies individually in respect of each deceased breadwinner. The purposive interpretation of section 17(1) of the RAF Act supports this conclusion. To afford the third parties the greatest possible protection, section 17(1) of the RAF Act must be interpreted as widely as possible in favour of the third-party claimants. The cap in section 17(4)(c)(ii) of the RAF Act applies individually to third-party claimants in respect of each deceased breadwinner and the claimants in casu are entitled to payment of the balance of the amount awarded.

MOGOTSI AJ

ACTUARIAL – Loss of income – Post-morbid scenario – Progressing to an experienced professional accountant and self-employment – No cognitive difficulties following accident – Contradictions – Case being constructed and reconstructed – No direct link between development of psychological difficulties and involvement in accident – Post-morbid future scenario is unreliable and manipulated – Plaintiff concealed that his post-morbid future income had evened out – R1,280,843.52.

Facts: The plaintiff related that he was a driver of a vehicle when another vehicle approached from the front in the wrong lane. He reported that he swerved to avoid a collision, and subsequently lost control of the vehicle which crashed into the steel barriers. He reported that the other vehicle just drove off. He denied loss of consciousness and remembered all the details of the accident, and he reported that he remembers everything until the paramedics arrived and inserted an intra-venous line. According to the admission diagnosis, he sustained fractures of the tibia and fibula, knee and femur. At the time of the accident, he was completing his honours degree, having completed his BCom Accounting degree. He wrote his final examination and passed. Pre-accident, he had already secured employment at Botha Rekenmeesters, at the salary of R8,000 per month, but forfeited the opportunity due to the accident. He told the occupational therapist (OT) that he went to work for one day and fell. He then moved back to his hometown to live with his parents.


Application: Since the perestroika at the Road Accident Fund (RAF), those who are deft at quantifying RAF claims have experienced a windfall. The failure of the RAF to defend matters has resulted in courts, unlike the lady justice with her sword, administering justice with their hands tied behind their backs by the use and abuse of Rule 38(2) in RAF matters. In support of the application for default judgment, the plaintiff filed an affidavit that reads: “Since the defendant’s defence has been struck and since defendant remains disinterested in settling the matter, plaintiff requests judgment be granted as prayed for in terms of the application for default judgment to which the affidavit is attached.”


Assessment: From reading the affidavit, it immediately becomes apparent that the implicit submission is that if the RAF does not bother to come to court to contest the postulated amount of damages, the court, too, should not interfere with the contingency allowance suggested and, by extension, the sum of money claimed. This premise, dressed as an objection to the contingencies applied by the court, loses sight of the fact that the application of contingencies is pre-eminently and primarily a prerogative of the court and is by its very nature arbitrary, depending on the court’s view of imponderables in the matter. In a conversation with the industrial psychologist, the director at the firm, Minnaar, indicated that the plaintiff performed very well and satisfied all the requirements of his clerkship, and to this end, he was offered a permanent position after his internship, however, he declined the offer. The industrial psychologist opined that overall, the claimant’s post-accident career and earnings progression is a fair representation of his uninjured potential, since he completed his honours degree, completed his accounting internship in the requisite three-year, qualified and registered with SAIPA as a Professional Accountant, and worked as a Junior Accountant, progressing to an experienced professional accountant and eventually a self-employed professional in private practice, as is currently the case. The plaintiff's loss was confined to a low figure relating to a salary lag.


Findings: The court finds it curious that a person whose employers never saw any challenges with his work suffered from all the difficulties mentioned by the OT and it is the self-same OT to whom he said that he had no cognitive difficulties following the accident. As a matter of fact, at Cronje and Cronje he performed so well that at the end of his internship, he was offered a permanent job, which he declined for a better offer at TSC. For the first time, ten years after the accident, the plaintiff told of how he had planned a career in auditing and intended to pursue corporate employment. This was in direct conflict with what he had told the OT, as recorded in the report and addendum. All these contradictions are not without consequences. A picture is painted of a case that is being constructed and reconstructed, as the years roll on. The fact that experts seem to play along is most worrying. What is one to make of the OT who recorded no neurological challenges in his first report and yet recorded a head injury in the addendum. There was no direct link between the development of the psychological difficulties he identified and the claimant’s involvement in the accident. The post-morbid future scenario is unreliable as it is calculated, manipulated, or as stated by the actuary, “appears to simply be an attempt to favourably ‘structure’ his tax obligation.” The plaintiff’s post-morbid future income is more probable than the pre-morbid future income, hence, the court applied the contingency deduction of 1,5% being the three-year salary lag.


Order: The defendant is to pay R800,000 in respect of general damages. The defendant is to pay R1,280,843.52 in respect of loss of earnings and R412,755.89 in respect of past medical and hospital expenses.

MOTHA J

ACTUARIAL – Loss of support – Calculation – Deceased’s dependents are primarily minors – Consideration of deceased’s earnings at time of death – Would have had an earnings value of approximately R182,640 per annum up to age 63 – Defendant is obligated to deceased’s dependents for damages to compensate for loss of their father's support, measured until age 21 – Defendant shall pay R444,655 for past and future loss of support.

Facts: The action arose as a result of the death of the children’s biological father, the deceased, who was a passenger in a motor vehicle and died as a result of the injuries he sustained in a collision in 2012. At the time of their father's death, F was about seven years old, and D was approximately three. The deceased was married at his demise. In addition to F and D, the deceased had four other minor children, the eldest born in 1996 and the youngest posthumously in 2013.


Claim: The first plaintiff, F, and the second plaintiff, L, in her representative capacity for her minor daughter D, instituted an action for loss of support.


Issues: The action was defended, and the defendant filed a plea and expert reports. The defendant was ordered to pay 100% of F and D’s agreed-upon or proven damages. The matter is before court on the issue of quantum for the loss of support.


Assessment: It was submitted that at the time of death, the deceased was employed at San Contracting Services, earning a salary in the amount of R8,287.67 per month, being a total of R99,452 per annum. The actuaries considered the deceased’s earnings at the time of death. They regarded inflation and opined that the deceased would have had an earnings value of approximately R182,640 per annum from 1 November 2014 up to age 63. The actuarial report assumed two alternative scenarios: one based on dependency until age 18 and the other until age 21. Conversely, the defendant’s actuaries submitted that the deceased’s monthly earnings at the time of death were about R5,048.47, equalling R60,581.64 per annum, with a salary inflation increase up to a retirement age of 65 years. These actuarial calculations reflected the deceased as divorced and only had F and D as the deceased’s minor children. The notable disparity between the two actuarial calculations is their starting point regarding the deceased’s monthly salary. The defendant's calculations are only based on basic salary according to the employer’s certificate, which is considered aggregate net earnings. The plaintiff's calculation regarded not only the basic salary but also the statement of earnings from Rand Mutual Assurance.


Findings: Considering both actuaries, the court found the plaintiff's report more substantial and inclusive of other potential dependants of the deceased. Further, they provided calculations for all his dependents. Measuring compensation for loss of support is an exercise of judicial discretion in the interest of justice, considering the difference between the current position and the position that the minor child would have been in had the deceased not died. The loss of support for F and D until age 21 is sufficient. The court finds that the defendant is obligated to F and D for damages in the sum of R444,655 to compensate for the loss of their father's support measured until age 21.


Award: The defendant shall pay the capital amount of R444,655 in full and final payment of F and D’s claim for past and future loss of support, which is R188,083 for F and R256,572 for D.

MAZIBUKO AJ

14 January 2025

VAN RHYN J

MEDICAL NEGLIGENCE – Loss of income – Cerebral palsy – Life expectancy of minor child is until age of 31 years – Expert evidence – Rendered uneducable, untrainable and unemployable – Permanent impairment requiring full-time care giver – Contingency deduction percentage applied to claim for loss of earnings – Normal between 15% and 20% – No reason to deviate from normal contingency deduction – Loss of income award – R635,740.

Facts and issue: The plaintiff, in her capacity as mother and guardian of the minor child, instituted action against the defendant for damages following the birth of the minor. The plaintiff claimed that the defendant, through its agents and/or personnel at the Botshabelo Hospital, under the jurisdiction of the defendant, negligently caused the minor to suffer from cerebral palsy. The defendant has conceded liability on the merits. The quantification of the loss of earnings and applicable contingencies constitutes the only remaining issues between the parties.


Discussion: The industrial psychologists agreed that the minor has been ‘rendered uneducable, untrainable and unemployable, due to the incident that occurred leaving the minor with cerebral palsy requiring a full-time care giver.’ It is agreed by the industrial psychologists that it is generally known that children equal or obtain higher qualifications than their parents, which would probably have been the case with the minor. The calculation of the minor’s loss of earning capacity is based upon the agreement reached between the industrial psychologists having agreed that certain factors should be considered as the basis for computation. The minor’s life expectancy is until the age of 31.1 years. As a result of her injuries, she is unemployable. The minor would have attained a National Senior Certificate (NSC) (NQF level 4) in 2027(at age18). Tertiary education was a possibility rather than a probability and employment would be based on obtaining a Grade 12 level of education. The minor would have secured employment in the formal labour market after a period of two to five years.


Findings: The court agrees with the contention on behalf of the plaintiff that the high rate of unemployment in South Africa and the minor’s earning capacity being diminished or interrupted by are the normal vicissitudes of life taken into account by applying a contingency deduction of between 15% and 20%, being the normal contingency deduction. There are no special circumstances present to indicate that a higher contingency deduction ought to be implemented. In the circumstances, a 20% contingency deduction should be applied to the actuarially calculated loss of earnings.


Order: The defendant is ordered to pay the plaintiff, in her representative capacity, the amount of R635,740 in full and final settlement of the plaintiff’s claim for loss of earnings.

3 January 2025

PIENAAR AJ

RAF – Loss of income – Pre-existing condition – Injuries sustained in previous accident in 1995 – Paralyzed for a month due to a neck, head and possible back injury – Apportionment considered due to previous back and neck pathology – Now limited to finding very simple and routine employment that pays according to National Minimum Wage – Decline in earnings – May become unemployable sooner – Higher post morbid contingency deduction – R1,342,892.46.

Facts and issue: The plaintiff (Ms Lambrechts) pleaded was involved in a motor vehicle collision. Ms Lambrechts sustained a head injury and had loss of consciousness for an hour. Her memory is affected. She does not recall events around the accident. She sustained a compression fracture of T9 in an accident that occurred in 1995 when she was 18 years old. She didn’t submit a claim to the Road Accident Fund for the accident in 1995. The issue pertains to the quantum for loss of income suffered by the plaintiff.


Discussion: The plaintiff sustained an injury to her back, neck and head at the age of 18. She continued to experience symptoms until the accident on 24 December 2017. She could possibly have sustained a compression fracture of T9 due to the high-speed impact. Ms Lambrechts is struggling with a severe PTSD, exacerbated by pre-morbid psychic fragility. It would appear her employment may have been at risk pre- accident. Post accident, it appears her inability to cope resulted in her leaving. Psychiatrically, Ms Lambrecht presents with an agitated depressive syndrome in keeping with recurrent Major Depressive episodes with anxious distress or a mixed mood state. Ms Lambrechts has the physical ability to perform administrative or sedentary type of work with reasonable accommodations in workplace. She suffers from ongoing discomfort and pain, and she needs to adjust her postures regularly during an eight-hour day. For future employment she will require an employer who is more understanding and supportive of her challenges and willing to allow reasonable accommodation in the workplace.


Findings: Ms Lambrechts reported that she was in a motor vehicle accident at the age of 18 years in 1995 and paralyzed for a month due to a neck, head and possible back injury. For this accident, 50% apportionment will be considered due to her previous back and neck pathology. As a result of the present accident, Ms Lambrechts has been compromised. She is probably limited to finding very simple and routine employment that only pays according to the National Minimum Wage. She should be fairly compensated for the decline in her earnings and eventually may become unemployable sooner, and it is therefore recommended that a higher than usual post morbid contingency deduction be applied. Based on the plaintiff’s medical expert reports on the impact that the plaintiff’s pre-existing conditions, the court must apply a higher contingency for future pre morbidly, 25% and future post morbidly 40% contingency.


Order: The defendant is liable for 60% of such damages as the plaintiff may be able to prove. The defendant shall pay to the plaintiff the amount of R1,342,892.46 for loss of earnings.

16 January 2025

JOYINI J

RAF – Default judgment – Rescission – Application for leave to file supplementary affidavit – Purpose is to assist court to have a full picture of factual matrix – Alleges interest of justice demands that supplementary affidavit be allowed – Does not significantly prejudice respondent – Respondent’s failure to comply with Rule 28(2) is a critical procedural flaw – Requirements met – Judgment was granted owing to procedural irregularities – Order rescinded and set aside.

Facts and issue: This is an application for rescission of a default judgment brought by the applicant, the Road Accident Fund. The judgment was granted in favour of the respondent. Counsel for the applicant, in his application for leave to file a supplementary affidavit, submits that the purpose of the supplementary affidavit is to assist the court to have a full picture of the factual matrix. The main issue for determination is whether the applicant has met all the legal requirements in terms of common law, for the rescission of the default judgment.


Discussion: Counsel argues that it is in the interest of justice that the court determines the application with all the relevant facts before it, inclusive of those facts reflected in the supplementary affidavit. Counsel submits that the issue raised in the supplementary affidavit is relevant to the issue of rescission, which the court is called upon to determine. In weighing up the prejudice of allowing the supplementary affidavit on the respondent versus the prejudice on the applicant, the balance tips in favour of the applicant. The applicant’s supplementary affidavit does not significantly prejudice the respondent, and it will in fact assist the court in reaching a decision. It should thus be allowed. The respondent’s non-compliance with Rule 28(2) deprived the RAF of its right to contest the amendment and this led to a judgment that may not reflect the true extent of the applicant’s liability. Upholding such a judgment would undermine the principles of fairness and justice, as it would enforce an order obtained through procedural irregularities.


Findings: The respondent’s failure to comply with Rule 28(2) is a critical procedural flaw that cannot be overlooked. This non-compliance renders the purported amendment invalid, and the default judgment with such an amendment must be rescinded. The facts set out in the applicant’s founding and supplementary affidavits constitute an applicant’s commitment to satisfy the requirements for rescission of the default judgment in terms of common law. The applicant has shown good cause in the form of a potential or possible triable case with prima facie prospects of success in the main action. The respondent’s non-compliance with Rule 28(2) and the subsequent granting of the default judgment necessitates the rescission of the judgment. The applicant has demonstrated that the judgment was granted owing to procedural irregularities, which if known to the court at the time, would have precluded the granting of the judgment.


Order: The applicant is granted leave to file its supplementary affidavit supplementing its founding affidavit. The order is rescinded and set aside.

9 January 2025

JANSE VAN NIEUWENHUIZEN J

RAF – Loss of income – Pre-morbid projections – Child age 8 at time of collision – Head injury – Expert evidence – Both opinions of experts are problematic – Considered only one pre-accident scenario, to wit that minor would have obtained degree – Lack of facts establishing minor’s probable pre-accident scholastic and career path – Fair and just to deduct 50% from pre-accident future income – Loss of earning capacity award – R4,270,075.

Facts and issue: The plaintiff instituted action in her representative capacity as mother of a minor child against the defendant for the payment of damages the minor suffered as a result of a motor vehicle collision. The minor was a passenger in the vehicle. The minor was admitted to Van Velden hospital and according to the hospital records the minor suffered a head injury and an injury to the right eye during the accident. The minor was 8 years old and a grade 2 learner at the time of the accident. The court addresses the issue of the child’s loss of income.


Discussion: To determine the impact of the head injury on the minor’s earning ability, the plaintiff presented the evidence of an educational psychologist, Ms Masipa. The evidence of an industrial phycologist, Ms Lowane-Mayayise was presented to provide an opinion on the probable career paths of the minor pre-and post- accident. Both the opinions of Ms Masipa and Ms Lowane-Mayayise are problematic insofar as they considered only one pre-accident scenario, to wit that the minor would have obtained a degree. It is not clear from their respective reports why other scenarios were not considered. The minor’s mother has a grade 11 highest level of education and although Ms Lowane-Mayayise indicated that the father’s highest level of education is unknown, Ms Masipa indicated that the minor’s father obtained a grade 12. It is common cause that the minor’s father worked as general worker prior to his demise in 2007. The minor’s sister was condoned to grade 12 and has a grade 12 qualification.


Findings: There is no indication in the minor’s pre-accident scholastic performance that the most probable pre-accident academic path would have been that of obtaining a degree. Not every child in South Africa that has the ability to obtain a grade 12 qualification automatically proceed to obtain a degree. Even if a degree is obtained, the minor’s career path envisaged by Ms Lowane-Mayayise in her report is not a given. There are no facts that support the opinions of Ms Masipa and Ms Lowane-Mayayise. Having had regard to the minor’s family history, the lack of any facts that establishes the minor’s probable pre-accident scholastic and career path coupled with a balanced and more realistic approach to the career path of a person that obtains a grade 12 qualification, the court deems it fair and just to deduct 50% from the pre-accident future income.


Order: The defendant is ordered to pay an amount of R4,270,075 to the plaintiff in respect of the minor’s loss of earning capacity.

6 November 2024

BOTSI-THULARE AJ

RAF – Loss of income – Expert evidence – Head injury – Quantum – Contradictory expert evidence – Conclusions based merely on information which was supplied by plaintiff – Unverified and not properly motivated – Employed as a taxi driver without having obtained a driver’s licence – No past loss of earnings as plaintiff was unemployed at time of accident – Plaintiff successful on issues of liability and general damages – Loss of income claim dismissed – General damages of R1,350,000.

Facts and issue: This is an action for a claim for damages arising from personal injuries sustained by the plaintiff in a motor vehicle accident. The issue of liability has already been settled between the parties and the defendant conceded to the 100% in favour of the plaintiff. The court is required to determine the quantum of damages suffered by the plaintiff. The plaintiff was 25 years old at the time of the accident. The plaintiff left school when he was in grade 9. His highest level of education is grade 8. The evidence indicated that prior to the accident the plaintiff was sympathetically employed as a taxi driver.


Discussion: The plaintiff was unemployed at the time of the accident. From the said accident, the plaintiff sustained brain injury and soft tissue injuries. He remained unemployed for three years after the accident and was later assisting his uncle transporting school children and people to work, for only three months thereafter. The Actuaries are of the view that the plaintiff is entitled to claim the amount of R1,904,013 for past and future loss of earning. The Actuaries calculations were arrived at on the basis that the plaintiff was employed as a taxi driver from 2014 until the date of the accident. Further, that post accident, the plaintiff has remained unemployed and has been rendered totally unemployable because of the accident. The Actuaries relied on the opinion evidence of the industrial psychologists, who obtained information from the plaintiff. According to the industrial psychologist, the plaintiff was unemployed at the time of the reported accident and was seeking employment as a light motor vehicle driver or taxi driver. The industrial psychologist indicated that the plaintiff has suffered no actual loss of earnings because of the accident because he was unemployed at the time of the reported accident, although he was still seeking employment.


Findings: The court is not satisfied that with the opinion of the industrial psychologist that the earning capacity of the plaintiff had been lost to a point that his patrimony is reduced in due course. The opinion of the industrial psychologist is not properly motivated at all, it is contradictory. Some of the industrial psychologist’s conclusion were based merely on information which was supplied by the plaintiff only. Another point which works against the plaintiff is that he indicated that he has been employed as a taxi driver without having obtained a driver’s licence as well as the applicable Professional Driving Permit (PDP). This means that the plaintiff was operating a public vehicle transporting passengers without the required documentation to do so. The plaintiff was successful on the issues of liability and general damages.


Order: General damages are awarded to the plaintiff in the amount of R1,350,000.

18 December 2024

DAVIS J

RAF – General damages – Acceptance by Fund – Pre-trial conference – Concessions made at a pre-trial conference are binding on parties – Includes acceptance by RAF of seriousness of injuries – Plaintiff utilizing RAF’s own admissions – Proven that jurisdictional requirements for general damages claim satisfied – RAF bound to its acceptance of assessment – Fair and reasonable quantum – Defendant liable for 100% of plaintiff’s proven damages – R4,903,359.50.

Facts and issue: The principal dispute is whether, by way of concessions made at a pre-trial conference, the Road Accident Fund (RAF) should be deemed to have accepted the seriousness of injuries sustained by a minor as contemplated in the proviso to section 17(1) of the Road Accident Fund Act 56 of 1996. The third party contemplated in the RAF Act on whose behalf the action had been instituted is a minor. He was six years old when he, as a pedestrian, was injured in a motor vehicle accident.


Discussion: The RAF had not delivered any expert reports and did not, in writing, as agreed, dispute any of the plaintiff’s expert reports, at the agreed date and time. Reliant on the general principals regarding admissions in civil proceedings, the plaintiff argued that the consequence of the RAF’s failure, amounted to an admission that the plaintiff was entitled to claim general damages for the minor. The RAF itself had, by the exercise of a deliberate election, chose to accept the conclusion of the plaintiff’s expert regarding the seriousness of the minor’s injuries. It must be accepted that, before exercising this election, the RAF must have satisfied itself as to the correctness of that conclusion. The RAF is found to be bound to its acceptance of the assessment of the minor’s injuries as serious, and the RAF had thereby satisfied itself that the plaintiff is entitled to claim general damages on behalf of the minor.


Findings: The court finds that by utilizing the RAF’s own admissions, the plaintiff has, on a balance of probabilities, proven that the jurisdictional requirements for a claim for general damages, have been satisfied. The minor’s undisputed injuries and the consequences thereof were that he had suffered head and facial trauma, with forehead and facial lacerations, a dental injury and a mild to moderate brain injury.  Consequently, he suffers from attention and concentration difficulties, memory and learning difficulties, speech and language difficulties.  He presents with a moderate dysarthria as well as a neurocognitive disorder with behavioural disturbance.  He also suffered some hearing loss, although minimal. The plaintiff’s counsel suggested a lump sum award of between R600,000 to R800,000. Without making any formal concessions, the State attorney was of the view that an award of R700,000 would be fair and reasonable in the circumstances. The court agrees.


Order: It is declared that the defendant is liable for 100% of the plaintiff’s proven or agreed damages. The defendant shall pay the plaintiff an amount of R4,903,359.50 in full and final settlement of the plaintiff’s claim for general damages and loss of earnings.

24 December 2024

MHLAMBI J

RAF – RAF 1 form – Substantial compliance – Contended that plaintiff’s failure to complete RAF 1 form authorized defendant to investigate its liability – Plaintiff submitted that RAF1 form and supporting documents provided necessary information to conduct investigation – Form does not call for detailed information – Not intended to enable Fund to assess quantum of claim – Seeks to enable it to investigate impact of injuries sustained – Special pleas dismissed.

Facts and issue: The plaintiff sued the defendant for damages arising from injuries suffered by her arising from a motor accident. The defendant filed three special pleas: substantial compliance, premature summons, and prescription. The defendant objected to the claim's validity in terms of section 24(5) of the Road Accident Fund Act 56 of 1996. The RAF pre-assessed the claim for substantial compliance with section 24 of the Act and found that the claim did not meet the requirements.


Discussion: The defendant contended that the plaintiff’s failure to complete the RAF1 Claim Form in its entirety authorized the defendant to request and be provided with information and documentation to investigate its liability (if at all), provide supporting documentation as requested by the defendant at lodgment of her claim, and then filing of contradictory reports and employer’s certificates; results in the defendant being unable to timeously investigate the claim, and determine its liability (if any). The plaintiff submitted that the RAF1 form and supporting documents such as the accident report, hospital record, medical records, and section 19(f) affidavit submitted to the defendant provided the necessary information to conduct its investigation into the merits of the plaintiff’s claim. The plaintiff has, therefore, substantially complied with the provisions of the Act. The letters of objection deal with documents such as payslips, medico-legal reports, and proof of payment of medical expenses, which refer to the quantum of the claim and are not required for the investigation of the merits.


Findings: In Road Accident Fund v Busuku it was stated that the RAF 1 form does not call for detailed information. It is not intended, of itself, to enable the Fund to assess the quantum of the plaintiff’s claim. It seeks to enable it to investigate the impact of the injuries sustained. To do so the RAF 1 form requires the disclosure of information to guide and facilitate the investigation. The purpose of s 24(5), in the context of the Act and bearing in mind the principles of interpretation set out earlier, is to enable a plaintiff who has timeously lodged a claim but has failed to comply fully with the procedural requirements of s 24(1) and (2) to remedy any deficiencies which arise from the completion of the RAF 1 form.


Order: The special pleas are dismissed.

 

BOOKS / RESEARCH / ARTICLES

Authors:  Pietro Parodi, Derek Thrumble, Peter Watson, Zhongmei Ji, Alex Wang, Ishita Bhatia, Joseph Lees, Sophia Mealy, Rushabh Shah, Param Dharamshi and Federica Gazzelloni


A common statistical modelling paradigm used in actuarial pricing is (a) assuming that the possible loss model can be chosen from a dictionary of standard models; (b) selecting the model that provides the best trade-off between goodness of fit and complexity. Machine learning provides a rigorous framework for this selection/validation process. An alternative modelling paradigm, common in the sciences, is to prove the adequacy of a statistical model from first principles: for example, Planck’s distribution, which describes the spectral distribution of blackbody radiation empirically, was explained by Einstein by assuming that radiation is made of quantised harmonic oscillators (photons). In this working party we have been exploring the extent to which loss models, too, can be derived from first principles. Traditionally, the Poisson, negative binomial, and binomial distributions are used as loss count models because they are familiar and easy to work with. We show how reasoning from first principles naturally leads to non-stationary Poisson processes, Lévy processes, and multivariate Bernoulli processes depending on the context. For modelling severities, we build on previous research that shows how graph theory can be used to model property-like losses. We show how the methodology can be extended to deal with business interruption/supply chain risks by considering networks with higher-order dependencies. For liability business, we show the theoretical and practical limitations of traditional models such as the lognormal distribution. We explore the question of where the ubiquitous power-law behaviour comes from, finding a natural explanation in random growth models. We also address the derivation of severity curves in territories where compensation tables are used. This research is foundational in nature, but its results may prove useful to practitioners by guiding model selection and elucidating the relationship between the features of a risk and the model’s parameters.

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